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NDRC: CPI Growth In June Is Expected To Be Higher Than That In May.

2011/6/23 13:37:00 42

Development And Reform Commission CPI

The head of the national development and Reform Commission, 22, said that the overall price level in June will be higher than that in May. But as the policies and measures for stabilizing the prices of the country gradually play a role, the consumer price will rise higher than the same period, and the annual price level will be controlled in a controllable range.


The official said that the current price level is running at a high level, and that the increase in individual months may still be higher, but the overall situation is controllable.

The general price level rose more in the second half of last year, which has a great impact on the end of this year. This is the main reason for the higher total price level this year.


In the first five months, the new price increase factor is on the increase, but the trend of the increase in the price of the new price increases is convergent.

Policies and measures to stabilize prices in the country are gradually playing a role.

Price

The momentum of rapid growth has been curbed to a certain extent.

The person in charge predicted that the overall price level in June will be higher than that in May, because the tail factor will increase by 0.5 percentage points over May, reaching the highest annual value of 3.7 percentage points.


According to the NDRC monitoring, in the second week of June, the average price of live pigs in 34 large and medium-sized cities nationwide reached 17.62 yuan per kilogram, an increase of 79.2% over the same period last year.

The official stressed that the year-on-year increase was mainly due to the low pork prices in the same period last year.

* * * the price of pork is substantially lower than that of hog prices, and the price of pork may increase to a certain extent.


He believes that the current price of hog is basically the same as that of March 2008, which is a high point in recent years, but it is still in a reasonable range.


For three years since 2008, due to land and feed,

Labor cost

Raise more, so the corresponding rise in pig prices is normal.

Judging from the trend of the late stage, the improvement of pig breeding benefits is conducive to further mobilizing the enthusiasm of farmers to fill the barriers and increasing the supply of late market, which is conducive to the stability of pig prices.


According to the statistics of the Ministry of agriculture, the total number of pig farms in the whole country was 453 million at the end of May, an increase of 0.8%, an increase of 4.4% over the same period last year.

This is quite different from the obvious decline of pig production in 2007 and the tight supply of the market. There is little possibility that the price of live pigs will continue to rise substantially in the later stage.


When it comes to the recent impact of drought and waterlogging on agricultural production, the official said that the recent disasters to our country

agricultural production

The impact is limited and the possibility of a sharp rise in grain prices is very small.

Historically, meteorological conditions are generally in the normal range this year. Drought and flood disasters are also confined to some areas. This year's summer grain harvest is a foregone conclusion.

Due to the increase in agricultural labor costs and the increase in input costs of fertilizers, pesticides and diesel, grain prices will remain moderate and small.

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