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2012 Textile And Garment Industry Two Key Words: Deceleration Stock

2012/12/21 10:43:00 32

Textile And Garment Industry Clothing Inventory Cotton

"P" "deceleration" is the economic growth trend of "a target=" "_blank" "href=" "//www.sjfzxm.com/" > textile < /a > in 2012; "stock" is the pain of the 2012 < a target= '_blank href=' > clothing < < < < < /a >.

2012, textile and clothing, a traditional industry closely related to people's life, lurched along in the cold.

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Since P 2012, the economic growth of China's textile industry has shown an obvious deceleration trend due to many factors, such as sluggish external demand, slowing domestic demand, domestic and foreign a href= "http://cailiao.sjfzxm.com/Matertial/show/default.aspx" > cotton price < /a > widening price differentials and rising prices of production factors. The growth rate of major economic indicators such as production, exports and investment has slowed down compared with the same period last year, and the efficiency has declined significantly.

According to the data of the Federation of textile industry, in the month of 1~10, more than 3.7 Textile Enterprises above Designated Size reached 4 trillion and 681 billion 290 million yuan in total industrial output value, up 11.3% from the same period last year, an increase of 17 percentage points lower than that in the same period last year.

at present, many textile enterprises in China are still export-oriented enterprises. Exports account for a large proportion in the operation of < a href= "http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp" > textile industry < /a >, and the export situation of textile industry is not optimistic in 2012.

According to the customs express, 1-8 of our total exports of textiles amounted to US $62 billion 510 million, down 0.7% from the same period last year.

The NDRC believes that the growth of China's textile industry has been affected by factors such as the weak economic recovery in the US, the spread of the European debt crisis and the slow growth of emerging markets.

According to the relevant analysis of the Ministry of industry and commerce, the textile industry has a large dependence on exports, a long industrial chain, and a large number of agricultural and sideline products, such as cotton, at the front end, which are connected with the consumption and export of the residents, the fluctuation of raw material prices such as cotton and other raw materials, the sharp rise in labor costs, and the substantial appreciation of the RMB exchange rate.

Under the influence of all these external factors, many enterprises are struggling to maintain their current business conditions.

Less than P, it is gratifying to note that after September, the economic situation of the textile industry has been improving.

Textile Industry Federation held in the first three quarters of 2012, the textile industry economic operation analysis will reveal that at present, the scale of textile industry continues to expand, the export scale has picked up slightly, domestic sales have maintained a certain degree of growth, investment scale has expanded, the pace of regional structural adjustment has increased rapidly, and industry profits have increased for the first time this year.

however, industry experts believe that the intensity of the textile industry's recovery is still weak, and the foundation is not yet solid. This is manifested in the following: the investment growth rate is falling faster, the new construction projects are continuing to decline, the export of cotton products has dropped sharply and the competitiveness of the rival countries has been enhanced.

Another expert said that in the next 5-10 years, China's textile industry is still in the risk of high incidence and pformation of the collision period.

From a global perspective, we must reassess the risks faced by China's textile industry with a global stand.

The instability of costs, the decline of industrial pfer and export growth, and the weakening of dividend policy all make the restructuring of China's textile industry become imminent.

In the future, China's textile industry must focus on enhancing the new driving force of innovation driven development, building a new system for the development of modern textile industry, relying more on scientific and technological progress, improving the quality of workers, and innovating management, and relying on resource conservation and circular economy to expand and promote the sustained and healthy development of the industry.

In addition, the scarcity of factor resources is more and more important. It is more necessary for Chinese textile to carefully consider the opportunity cost and efficiency of resource allocation, based on the pformation from "investment orientation" to "demand orientation", and to seek new endogenous support and core competitiveness support for development. P

aiming at the current situation and existing problems of the textile industry, there are institutional suggestions. First, it is necessary to solve the problem of cotton price difference, and solve the problem of cotton price difference at home and abroad as soon as possible. It is an important measure to speed up the textile industry's stabilization and recovery, and also an effective way to avoid the further decline of China's textile and garment industry's international market share.

The two is to strengthen support for small and medium-sized enterprises.

Small and medium enterprises in textile industry are the main force to absorb employment. It is recommended to continue to implement the national policies and measures aimed at small and medium-sized enterprises, pay close attention to the difficulties faced by small and medium-sized enterprises, and solve problems for small and medium enterprises in a timely manner, so as to enhance the competitiveness of small and medium-sized enterprises.

The three is to continue to support the pformation and upgrading of the industry.

We will continue to support textile enterprises in carrying out technological pformation and technological innovation, improving the added value of products in the industry, and fundamentally enhancing the competitiveness of the industry.

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2012 is a "winter" for the clothing industry in the whole year, and this winter began in autumn and winter last year.

since the fourth quarter of last year, the survival environment of garment enterprises has been greatly tested. High inventories are often reported by newspapers.

In 2012, the news was even more alarming.

There are media laments, "Stock clothing" people can not wear out for three years! As for the current apparel industry as a whole, due to the lack of foreign trade and domestic demand pull, inventory backlog phenomenon is indeed serious.

According to the National Bureau of statistics, over 256 billion 966 million of the finished products in the first three quarters of the Chinese garment industry were above 256 billion 966 million.

inventory is the industry characteristics of apparel as a seasonal end product in the course of operation.

The reason is that the market forecast information and the actual situation do not match, resulting in lower sales than expected, resulting in increased inventory; under the pressure of the capital market, some clothing brands have the pursuit of speed, the shop and production speed has been greatly improved, but its single store slippery, resulting in increased inventory; some enterprises logistics management level, information management level is not perfect, to a certain extent, resulting in slower market reaction, resulting in backlog of inventory.

Chen Dapeng, executive vice president of China clothing association, said at the 2012 Chinese clothing convention, 2012, China's clothing industry is facing great difficulties and pressures.

The indicators of export, production, domestic sales and investment all have a very obvious slowing down trend than the previous year, especially the decline in efficiency is very obvious. The industry is generally running under a more severe situation.

Sales revenue for Enterprises above designated size increased by 13% at the beginning of the year, but only 10% in September. The profit margin of the garment industry also dropped from 6% at the beginning of the year to 5.09% in September.

But this is still the situation of Enterprises above Designated Size, and the large and medium sized enterprises will be even worse.

according to customs statistics, the number of garment exports has been negative growth for 13 consecutive months. In 1-9 months this year, the monthly decline was 6.44%, 11.4%, 3.65%, 5.28%, 3.79%, 3.6%, 4.53%, 4.26% and 2.9%, respectively, showing a downward trend.

The growth of export volume also continued to decline. By September this year, the cumulative growth rate had dropped to 1.35%.

The cost push up the price, and the export volume is squeezed out, resulting in the increase of export amount is much lower than the price increase. However, the price increase has narrowed month by month, which has dropped from 11.14% in January to 3.04% in September.

analysis shows that there are two main reasons for the decline of exports, one is the downturn in the international market, especially in the European market.

Since the second half of last year, Europe's clothing retail market has basically been hovering between the positive and negative numbers, with a negative growth of 14.16% in 1-9 months and a 4 percentage point downward.

On the other hand, domestic factor costs continue to rise. Many orders are pferring to these emerging market economies in Southeast Asia. This year, export oriented enterprises, especially small and medium-sized enterprises, are faced with unprecedented difficulties and challenges.

What is the domestic market at the same time when the export is declining? According to the latest data of the China Textile Import and export chamber, the retail sales of 100 large retail enterprises in China increased by 23.1% over the same period in November, the first growth rate of over 20% in the year.

in fact, in the face of the export situation is not optimistic, most garment enterprises have turned their attention to the domestic market.

But now the demand in the domestic market has been different from before. Consumers began to pursue design, function and healthy lifestyle. Consumption has escalated.

This requires the garment enterprises to face the challenges brought by domestic consumption changes.

In addition, a large number of international brands pour into the Chinese market, and the market competition is intensifying. China's own brands have been hit in the market. Changes in the two international and domestic markets and the changes in some elements of the industry have made the garment industry come to a certain stage of change.

experts say that the garment industry is developing in difficulties this year, and it is also a difficulty in development.

But in the face of such huge potential as China, which can give endless imagination to the market, garment enterprises should have confidence in the future Chinese market.

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cotton, as one of the important raw materials of the industry, its price impact on the textile and garment industry can not be underestimated.

Since 2012, the price of domestic cotton has always been higher than that of the international market, and the price gap has been widening.

By the middle of August, domestic cotton prices had been more than 5000 yuan higher than that of the international market, and the spread of price increased by 67% compared with the beginning of the year.

it is understood that recently the two time the state raised the price of storage and storage, so that domestic cotton prices gradually stabilized at about 19 thousand yuan per ton.

However, as the international market continues to slump, demand is insufficient, and international cotton prices continue to fall, resulting in the spread of cotton price difference at home and abroad, and the continuous expansion of cotton price differentials. Textile enterprises have undertaken higher cost of raw materials, seriously weakened the international competitiveness of cotton fabrics, caused the loss of orders, reduced profits and increased losses.

This year, from the national key cotton textile enterprises, the deficit is around 30%.

recently, the Ministry of Finance announced that a certain amount of cotton imported from the 2013 cotton tariff quota will continue to be applied to the sliding tax, and the tax rate calculation method has been adjusted.

Compared with the old and new formula, we can find that, according to the exchange rate of US dollar to RMB 6.2908 in December, the range of the old and new formula's influence is US dollar 50.59-100.95 price cotton. Under the new formula, the sliding rate is generally raised, and the rate of increase is gradually increasing with the US dollar price falling, the highest is 5 percentage points.

Analysts believe that this range is just the area where the price of imported cotton is relatively concentrated among domestic enterprises. This shows that the intention of this policy adjustment is more obvious, but compared to the current 6000 yuan / ton internal and external cotton price difference, sliding tax adjustment has limited import cost increase, and the market impact is not expected to be very obvious.

how to reduce the spread of cotton prices, the industry suggested that the reserve policy, including storage and storage, is indispensable.

At present, the total amount of national reserves is close to 7 million 500 thousand tons. With the acquisition and storage going on, the reserves will become larger and larger, and the domestic market resources will be further reduced, especially the high-grade cotton will be more tense than before. The state should continue to put in the national cotton reserves, meet the needs of the cotton demand of enterprises, reduce the expected expansion of the domestic and foreign cotton prices, and safeguard the safety of the textile industry.

2013, for the textile and garment industry, it is a year of great adjustment after recuperation.

Some agencies believe that the textile and garment industry has obviously adjusted since the fourth quarter of 2011. The adjustment of the current industry has both the impact of the macro environment and the reflection on the extensive growth mode of the industry in the past few years (such as blind expansion of production capacity, excessive shop opening and excessive price increase). Therefore, the forecast is expected to revive in the middle of 2013.