The Stock Price Foundation Also Needs To Consolidate The Trend Of Individual Stocks.

In the near future, the stock market is in a rubber state, the trend of the stock trend is very flexible, the disk face is obviously protected by the main body of the shield, the continuous Yang line and the lifting of the weight share can be seen. The large plate still walks in a large box, the upper edge of the box is 2933 points of the Shanghai index, and the lower edge of the box is 2638 points.

The next thing we need to verify is, when the market returns to normal, what direction does the market go in?

The following factors still deserve our attention:

First, the trend of deleveraging.

The leverage of the stock market has been removed a lot.

That is, the two scale of the securities business has been reduced to less than 850 billion yuan. It has been reduced from more than 5000 at 2 trillion and 300 billion to less than 850 billion yuan now, and the time is only a little more than half a year. This slowdown is surprising.

Other data such as off court funding, umbrella trusts and equity pledge have never been released, but look at the stock market's bear now. Even if leverage is still there, the days will not be much better.

Recently, it is worth noting that the "down payment loan" that emerges in the real estate market is that the real estate purchasers, apart from 80% from bank loans, originally paid 20% from those who specialize in off-site funding. This kind of "empty sack back rice" is not the work of the poor, but the game of those rich people who set up capital, but this kind of activity is feasible even if it works well, but once the crash, the lethality is still great, and then the cleaning up is inevitable.

Second, pay attention to the trend of the main force of the national team.

Last year

At that time, the 5178 point dropped to 3800 points. In fact, the drop was not large at that time. However, the pressure of huge leverage was to prevent the "Domino dominoes" effect. The national team took the initiative to attack the bailout market, and how much the total bail-out was, until now it is still unknown.

When the three quarterly report came out last year, we found the figure of Huijin and certification company from the list of the top ten shareholders announced by various companies, so we gave the stock a "King's daughter".

It is now the climax of the annual report. The data of shareholder changes that need to be disclosed in the annual report will be clearer. Therefore, it can be seen from the data changes whether the national team is overweight or reduced. From the change of ownership, we can see the trend of the main force of the national team, and the future layout of investors should follow these main forces, which should be a good choice.

Third, concern

Turnover.

At the more than 5000 point of the Chinese stock market, the daily volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 2 trillion and 400 billion yuan, and when the market was losing ground, the volume of trading volume was over 500 billion yuan, which was already very happy with the shrinking volume.

Trading volume is shrinking and there is a deleveraging factor. There is also a factor in the withdrawal of funds after the change of the IPO method. Stock proverb: what can be deceived in the stock market, and only the volume can not deceive people. Therefore, there are numerous inlets in the current market, including last year, most of the bailout funds are set at about 3600 points, and the market still lacks incremental funds. Most of the current stock market is stock game, so the market structure needs to repair the market, and the repair of the market is not done overnight.

It will take some time to sort out the big box. Although the fluctuation is nearly 300 points, the market also needs to prove again and again whether these 2638 points are the lowest point since the stock market crash.

The foundation of the stock price needs to be consolidated, and the market mentality needs to be repaired. This process may be more painful, but there are still many opportunities for the short term. Therefore, we should control the positions well, do the difference, and do not wait for the price difference. We will be patient and wait for the new opportunities to come.